Amerigo Resources Stock Performance

ARREF Stock  USD 4.29  0.21  5.15%   
Amerigo Resources holds a performance score of 32 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Amerigo Resources will likely underperform. Use Amerigo Resources treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to analyze future returns on Amerigo Resources.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

High

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Amerigo Resources are ranked lower than 32 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Amerigo Resources reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow14.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-8.1 M
  

Amerigo Resources Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  214.00  in Amerigo Resources on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  215.00  from holding Amerigo Resources or generate 100.47% return on investment over 90 days. Amerigo Resources is currently producing 1.168% returns and takes up 2.8308% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 25% of traded otc stocks are less volatile than Amerigo, and 77% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amerigo Resources is expected to generate 3.82 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.82 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.41 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Amerigo Resources Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Amerigo OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.29 90 days 4.29 
about 5.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amerigo Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.54 (This Amerigo Resources probability density function shows the probability of Amerigo OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Amerigo Resources will likely underperform. Moreover Amerigo Resources has an alpha of 1.2529, implying that it can generate a 1.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amerigo Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amerigo Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amerigo Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amerigo Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.464.297.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.694.527.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.504.337.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.063.934.80
Details

Amerigo Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amerigo Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amerigo Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amerigo Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amerigo Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.44

Amerigo Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amerigo Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amerigo Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amerigo is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Amerigo Resources Fundamentals Growth

Amerigo OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Amerigo Resources, and Amerigo Resources fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Amerigo OTC Stock performance.

About Amerigo Resources Performance

By analyzing Amerigo Resources' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Amerigo Resources' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Amerigo Resources has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Amerigo Resources has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Amerigo Resources Ltd., through its subsidiary, Minera Valle Central S.A., produces and sells copper and molybdenum concentrates from Codelcos El Teniente underground mine in Chile. Amerigo Resources Ltd. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Amerigo Resources is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Amerigo Resources performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amerigo Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Amerigo Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amerigo is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Amerigo Resources' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Amerigo Resources' otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Amerigo Resources' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Amerigo Resources' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Amerigo Resources' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Amerigo Resources' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Amerigo Resources' management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Amerigo Resources' otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Amerigo Resources' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Amerigo Resources' otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Amerigo Resources' otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Amerigo OTC Stock analysis

When running Amerigo Resources' price analysis, check to measure Amerigo Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amerigo Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Amerigo Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amerigo Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amerigo Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amerigo Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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